The global economy is proving more resilient than anyone expected. So why are the experts telling us to buckle up?
- Oct 9, 2025
- 2 min read
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For much of the last year, a global recession seemed all but inevitable. Businesses and households braced for impact, fearing the combined weight of multiple economic shocks would finally bring the system to its knees. And yet, that crash never came. The world economy, against many predictions, has held up with surprising strength, dodging the worst-case scenarios and showing remarkable resilience.
So, have we successfully navigated the storm? Not exactly. This stability is thanks to a combination of smarter policies, an adaptable private sector, and financial conditions that remained supportive. It's a testament to the system's ability to absorb shocks. But looking at this surface-level calm is like admiring a serene lake without acknowledging the powerful, unseen currents flowing just beneath. The growth we're experiencing is still well below the healthier pace we saw before the pandemic, suggesting a new, sluggish reality.
This resilience, however, is a fragile veneer. Below the surface, a palpable sense of uncertainty is building, reminiscent of the tension before major market corrections. Key indicators are flashing warning signsâfrom soaring demand for gold, a classic safe-haven asset, to financial market valuations stretching to levels not seen in a quarter-century. The real question isn't whether the global economy is stable today, but what happens when this hidden tension finally snaps?
